Polymarket market · Crypto

Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?

Open as of the last daily run · See it on Polymarket ↗

10 whales traded $58K on this market since Oct 8, 63% of their buying on Yes. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 4 minutes later would have cost 1.7¢ more per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. It hadn't resolved as of the last daily run.

The whales on this market

10 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold
0x2476…8436
no settled record
Yes @ 57¢ $15K —
Honest-Building
1 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $11K
Impressive-Steak
487 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 60¢ $7.4K —
Taut-Ease-Bloodflow
28 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 59¢ $7.1K —
0xf705…3ca7
173 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 36¢ $6.0K —
Frequent-Cornmeal
9 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 62¢ $4.2K —
Digital-Academy
41 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $2.6K
0xa37a…2602
no settled record
Yes @ 77¢ $2.0K —
Pristine-Screenwriting-Builder
1 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 16¢ $1.9K —
Dual-Politics
16 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 29¢ $1.5K —

Where the whale money went

  1. Yes
    $28K
    63% of whale buying · 5 buyers
  2. No
    $16K
    37% of whale buying · 3 buyers · $13K sold

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 8 to Oct 27, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1793170821).

About this data · run 1793170821, computed 2026-10-28 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1793170821 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed