Fresh-Cinema
0x277e6718cdf00f4f887d17589895ae031a337d32
Fresh-Cinema: +$1.1K on 4 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 75% (95% range 30%–95%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
+$1.1K
return +19.3%
Settled bets
4
$5.6K staked
Won
75.0%
95% range 30%–95%
Mostly bets on
crypto
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 3 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- +$1.1K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3 | BUY No
@ 89¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? |
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? | $2.6K |
| Oct 3 | BUY Yes
@ 96¢
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? |
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | $1.1K |
| Oct 3 | BUY Yes
@ 85¢
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? |
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | $1.3K |
| Sep 17 | BUY Yes
@ 63¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026? |
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026? | $3.2K |
| Aug 21 | BUY No
@ 85¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in August? |
Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in August? | $2.6K |
| Aug 21 | BUY Yes
@ 71¢
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026? |
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026? | $1.3K |
| Aug 21 | BUY Yes
@ 91¢
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | $1.8K |
| Aug 21 | SELL No
@ 99.5¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | $14K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.