Polymarket market · Crypto

Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October?

Open as of the last daily run · See it on Polymarket ↗

5 whales traded $51K on this market since Oct 1, 53% of their buying on No. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 4 minutes later would have cost 1.2¢ more per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. It hadn't resolved as of the last daily run.

The whales on this market

5 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold
Well-To-Do-Sanctity
9 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 49¢ $13K $23K
0xf705…3ca7
166 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 92¢ $9.2K —
0x37a1…6691
no settled record
No @ 88¢ $2.2K —
Limping-Veil
3 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 94¢ $2.0K —
Impressive-Steak
459 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 62¢ $1.5K —

Where the whale money went

  1. No
    $15K
    53% of whale buying · 4 buyers
  2. Yes
    $13K
    47% of whale buying · 1 buyer · $23K sold

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 1 to Oct 20, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1792566006).

About this data · run 1792566006, computed 2026-10-21 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1792566006 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed