Polymarket market · Crypto

Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in October?

Resolved: No won · See it on Polymarket ↗

11 whales traded $53K on this market since Oct 1, 98% of their buying on No. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 4 minutes later would have cost 1.2¢ more per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. No won, with 98% of the whale buying on it. Of the 10 whales whose whole position we captured, 9 made +$2.4K and 1 lost −$1.1K: +$1.2K between them. Biggest win: Apprehensive-Breakdown, +$810 on No. Biggest loss: Fumbling-Ear, −$1.1K on No.

The whales on this market

11 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Petty-Buck
7 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 95¢ $14K — +$687
Serene-Decision
16 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 97¢ $9.5K — +$256
Apprehensive-Breakdown
125 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 91¢ $8.2K — +$810
Pessimistic-Abdomen
24 settled bets Worse than the odds
sold only $0 $6.4K —
0xe617…f251
12 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 93¢ $5.0K — +$376
Shallow-Gang
2 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 99.5¢ $1.4K $1.4K +$4
Worse-Haunt
13 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 99¢ $2.0K — +$24
Silver-Accordion
9 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 93¢ $1.9K — +$151
Unrealistic-Competition-Plover
5 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 99.4¢ $1.2K — +$7
Fumbling-Ear
3 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 93¢ $1.1K — −$1.1K
Hard-To-Find-Obsession
2 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 94¢ $1.1K — +$73

Where the whale money went

  1. No won
    $44K
    98% of whale buying · 9 buyers · $7.9K sold
  2. No lost
    $1.1K
    3% of whale buying · 1 buyer

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 1 to Oct 31, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” counts only trades we captured; a dash means part of the position escaped capture. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1793516413).

More crypto markets the whales bet on

All Crypto →
MarketWhale moneyWhales ResultLast whale bet
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? $177K 25 Open
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in October? $66K 8 Won: No
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? $166K 22 Open
Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October? $58K 9 Won: No
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in October? $88K 15 Won: No
Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 in October? $63K 11 Won: No
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October? $97K 14 Won: No
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? $140K 15 Open
About this data · run 1793516413, computed 2026-11-01 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1793516413 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed