Well-To-Do-Code

0x1465b79bff7992bc703e1aafb3683b1089647072

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Well-To-Do-Code: −$20K on 10 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 80% (95% range 49%–94%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$20K
return −22.9%
Settled bets
10
$89K staked
Won
80.0%
95% range 49%–94%
Mostly bets on
crypto

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 8 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 6
−$20K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −10.9% (2,374 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Sep 24 BUY No @ 71¢
Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 by December 31, 2026?
Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 by December 31, 2026? $1.8K
Sep 24 BUY No @ 71¢
Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 by December 31, 2026?
Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 by December 31, 2026? $5.8K
Sep 21 BUY No @ 74¢
Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 by December 31, 2026?
Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 by December 31, 2026? $17K
Sep 21 BUY No @ 74¢
Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 by December 31, 2026?
Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 by December 31, 2026? $8.5K
Sep 21 BUY No @ 65¢
Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 by December 31, 2026?
Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 by December 31, 2026? $5.2K
Sep 6 BUY No @ 97¢
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 August 31-September 6?
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 August 31-September 6? $1.9K
Sep 5 BUY No @ 95¢
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 August 31-September 6?
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 August 31-September 6? $2.1K
Sep 5 BUY No @ 41¢
Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 by December 31, 2026?
Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 by December 31, 2026? $3.3K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791788420, computed 2026-10-12 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791788420 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed