Polymarket market · Other
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?
Resolved: Yes won · See it on Polymarket ↗
25 whales put $89K into this market since Aug 20, 96% of their buying on Yes. Yes won. Of the 22 whales whose whole position we captured, 20 made +$6.4K and 2 lost −$2.9K: +$3.4K between them.
The whales on this market
25 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold | Made on it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sizzling-Musicbox-Coaster
2 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 84¢ | $24K | — | +$4.5K |
| Flat-Badger
13 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 99.64¢ | $11K | — | +$40 |
| Valid-Defense
8 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 98¢ | $9.2K | — | +$221 |
| Old-Shoat
3 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 97¢ | $5.5K | — | +$186 |
| Poor-Carp
1 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 94¢ | $5.2K | — | +$323 |
| Careful-Bunch
77 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 87¢ | $1.3K | $2.9K | — |
| Physical-Classroom
2 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 88¢ | $3.3K | — | +$445 |
| Handy-Disconnection
2 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $3.3K | — |
| Outstanding-Announcement
1 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $2.1K | — |
| Single-Air
5 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 98¢ | $1.8K | — | +$37 |
| Smooth-Evolution
16 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 89¢ | $1.8K | — | +$220 |
| Snappy-Estuary
2 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 99.18¢ | $1.6K | — | +$13 |
| Unripe-Whisker
63 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 95¢ | $1.6K | — | +$82 |
| Watchful-Fund
2 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 96¢ | $1.5K | — | +$58 |
| Distant-Inhibitor
17 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 15¢ | $1.5K | — | −$1.5K |
| Chubby-Citizenship
1 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 25¢ | $1.4K | — | −$1.4K |
| Scared-Administrator
3 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 99.7¢ | $1.4K | — | +$4 |
| Favorable-Pepper-Brushing
888 settled bets Worse than the odds |
Yes @ 89¢ | $1.3K | — | +$159 |
| Unique-Founder
2 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 99.4¢ | $1.1K | — | +$7 |
| Stained-Scraper
1 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 99.2¢ | $1.1K | — | +$9 |
| Severe-Beam
1 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 99.8¢ | $1.1K | — | +$2 |
| Insidious-Pasture
1 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 99.8¢ | $1.1K | — | +$2 |
| Staid-Push
1 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 99.48¢ | $1.1K | — | +$6 |
| Amusing-Investigation
2 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 99.76¢ | $1.0K | — | +$3 |
| Humble-Vestment
1 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 91¢ | $1.0K | — | +$96 |
Where the whale money went
-
Yes won$78K96% of whale buying · 21 buyers · $8.3K sold
-
No lost$2.9K4% of whale buying · 2 buyers
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Aug 20 to Sep 30, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the weekly run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the weekly run (1791223421).