Polymarket market · Other
Iran leadership change by September 30?
Resolved: No won · See it on Polymarket ↗
17 whales put $275K into this market since Aug 26, 97% of their buying on No. No won. Of the 12 whales whose whole position we captured, 11 made +$2.5K and 1 lost −$6.3K: −$3.8K between them.
The whales on this market
17 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold | Made on it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noteworthy-Depth
4 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 98¢ | $112K | — | −$6.3K |
| Defenseless-Cohesion
1 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 98¢ | $101K | — | +$1.9K |
| Kaleidoscopic-Camp
20 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 99¢ | $17K | — | +$187 |
| Attached-Example-Anesthesiologist
51 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 99.4¢ | $8.0K | — | +$48 |
| Content-Kettle-Crinoline
5 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 99.9¢ | $5.0K | — | +$5 |
| Opulent-Right
31 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 99¢ | $4.5K | — | +$47 |
| Odd-Monk
2 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 99¢ | $4.0K | — | +$54 |
| Blaring-Surge
18 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $3.5K | — |
| Small-Pompom
8 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 97¢ | $2.9K | — | +$90 |
| Playful-Collateral
4 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $2.7K | — |
| Vital-Vision
1 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $2.6K | — |
| Hideous-Racer
15 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
sold only | $0 | $2.5K | — |
| Gaseous-Visit-Duckling
5 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 97¢ | $2.2K | — | +$77 |
| Somber-Creativity
4 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 99¢ | $2.1K | — | +$28 |
| Definitive-Oncology
1 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 98¢ | $2.0K | — | +$41 |
| Cheerful-Ephemera
50 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 99¢ | $1.9K | — | +$27 |
| Loathsome-Ox
1 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $1.0K | — |
Where the whale money went
-
No won$254K97% of whale buying · 12 buyers · $8.6K sold
-
No lost$8.5K3% of whale buying · 1 buyer · $3.7K sold
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Aug 26 to Sep 30, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the weekly run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the weekly run (1791223421).