Old-Shoat
0x167be917e068770f46575b82f6aa2b0516e1beec
Old-Shoat: +$159 on 3 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 67% (95% range 21%–94%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
+$159
return +1.9%
Settled bets
3
$8.5K staked
Won
66.7%
95% range 21%–94%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- +$186
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- −$27
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 23 | BUY No
@ 99.9¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in September? |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in September? | $3.1K |
| Sep 23 | SELL Yes
@ 99.03¢
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | $3.1K |
| Sep 17 | BUY Yes
@ 97¢
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | $5.5K |
All 3 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.