Polymarket market · Other

Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?

Resolved: No won · See it on Polymarket ↗

17 whales put $134K into this market since Aug 21, 100% of their buying on No. No won. Of the 11 whales whose whole position we captured, 10 made +$468 and 1 lost −$9: +$459 between them.

The whales on this market

17 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Determined-Tomato
10 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 97¢ $16K $11K —
Oblong-Riser
23 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 99.9¢ $25K $1.6K −$9
0xfbfd14dd4bb607373119de95f1d4b21c3b6c0029
12 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 99¢ $7.6K $8.6K —
Smooth-Evolution
16 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 99¢ $12K $3.5K +$52
Flashy-Label
32 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 99.9¢ $14K — +$14
Wilted-Bump
2 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 99.9¢ $8.3K — +$8
Opulent-Right
43 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 98¢ $7.0K — +$146
Experienced-Carpeting
2 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 98¢ $4.0K — +$75
Attached-Example-Anesthesiologist
64 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 98¢ $3.0K — +$48
Punctual-Sand
2 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $2.3K —
Neat-Tip
2 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 99¢ $1.9K — +$27
Sardonic-Patty
1 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.8K —
Willing-Trait
1 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.4K —
Idolized-Equality-Dilapidation
1 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 98¢ $1.3K — +$27
Wilted-Burden-Survivor
4 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 98¢ $1.3K — +$31
Measly-Tie
2 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.3K —
Untimely-Kiwi
11 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 97¢ $1.2K — +$40

Where the whale money went

  1. No won
    $102K
    100% of whale buying · 13 buyers · $26K sold
  2. No lost
    $0
    0% of whale buying · 0 buyers · $6.3K sold

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Aug 21 to Sep 30, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1791710133).

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed