Scared-Administrator

0xb8ad2849635c9ce413f1fdd2e7b364bbfafeff58

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Scared-Administrator: +$111 on 3 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 100% (95% range 44%–100%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$111
return +2.1%
Settled bets
3
$5.4K staked
Won
100.0%
95% range 44%–100%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 3 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by 2 weeks
Sep 4 – Sep 20
+$90
Sep 20 – Oct 5
+$21
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Sep 30 BUY Yes @ 99.7¢
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? $1.4K
Sep 26 BUY No @ 98¢
Will Maximilian Pohler win the next Braunschweig mayoral election?
Will Maximilian Pohler win the next Braunschweig mayoral election? $1.1K
Sep 16 BUY No @ 97¢
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Starship?
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Starship? $2.9K

All 3 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed