0x7759…995f

0x7759a35ac38c416f21a661ea0a9ce206790d995f

Polymarket

Can't tell from luck Check it on Polymarket ↗

0x7759…995f: +$4.9K on 50 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 64% (95% range 50%–76%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.

Profit
+$4.9K
return +4.4%
Settled bets
50
$113K staked
Won
64.0%
95% range 50%–76%
Mostly bets on
esports

Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 20 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Sep 6 – Sep 23
+$8.4K
Sep 23 – Oct 11
−$3.4K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 9 BUY 100 Thieves @ 85¢
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Nongshim RedForce - Map 2 Winner
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Nongshim RedForce - Map 2 Winner $6.0K
Oct 9 BUY 100 Thieves @ 83¢
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Nongshim RedForce - Map 1 Winner
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Nongshim RedForce - Map 1 Winner $6.0K
Oct 8 SELL JD Gaming @ 99.9¢
LoL: Natus Vincere vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner
LoL: Natus Vincere vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner $2.3K
Oct 7 SELL Shopify Rebellion @ 99.9¢
LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 2 Winner
LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 2 Winner $1.2K
Oct 6 SELL LGD Gaming @ 99¢
LoL: JD Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner
LoL: JD Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner $1.9K
Oct 6 BUY LGD Gaming @ 79¢
LoL: JD Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner
LoL: JD Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner $1.5K
Oct 6 SELL LGD Gaming @ 99.9¢
LoL: JD Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner
LoL: JD Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner $2.5K
Oct 5 SELL MOUZ @ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner $2.9K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed