Polymarket market · Sports

Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees

Resolved: New York Yankees won · See it on Polymarket ↗

14 whales put $88K into this market since Sep 24, 58% of their buying on Tampa Bay Rays. New York Yankees won. Of the 11 whales whose whole position we captured, 4 made +$6.5K and 7 lost −$22K: −$15K between them.

The whales on this market

14 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Stale-Glue
66 settled bets Can't tell from luck
New York Yankees @ 40¢ $8.5K $40K —
Powerless-Savannah
2,455 settled bets Beat the odds*
Tampa Bay Rays @ 80¢ $6.9K — −$3.8K
Itchy-Sunlamp-Toad
87 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Tampa Bay Rays @ 82¢ $4.9K — −$4.9K
Illiterate-Counterforce
266 settled bets Can't tell from luck
New York Yankees @ 32¢ $4.4K — +$3.4K
Enchanted-Foal
124 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Tampa Bay Rays @ 43¢ $3.6K — −$3.6K
All-Peasant-Drug
891 settled bets Worse than the odds
sold only $0 $3.3K —
Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf
3,484 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Tampa Bay Rays @ 47¢ $3.2K — −$3.2K
Ignorant-Shaw-Ego
100 settled bets Can't tell from luck
New York Yankees @ 57¢ $3.0K — +$2.3K
Oval-Maternity
29 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Tampa Bay Rays @ 39¢ $2.9K — −$2.9K
Happy-Go-Lucky-Physical-Knifeedge
86 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Tampa Bay Rays @ 86¢ $1.9K — −$1.9K
Trivial-Ravioli
249 settled bets Worse than the odds
New York Yankees @ 97¢ $1.6K — +$49
Substantial-Timber
38 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $1.5K —
Baggy-Illustration
170 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Tampa Bay Rays @ 74¢ $1.2K — −$1.2K
Substantial-Service
750 settled bets Beat the odds*
New York Yankees @ 57¢ $1.1K — +$829

Where the whale money went

  1. Tampa Bay Rays lost
    $25K
    58% of whale buying · 8 buyers
  2. New York Yankees won
    $18K
    42% of whale buying · 6 buyers · $45K sold

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Sep 24 to Sep 25, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1791710133).

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed