Polymarket market · Sports

Cleveland Guardians vs. Boston Red Sox

Resolved: Cleveland Guardians won · See it on Polymarket ↗

9 whales put $58K into this market since Sep 24, 79% of their buying on Cleveland Guardians. Cleveland Guardians won. Of the 9 whales whose whole position we captured, 7 made +$46K and 2 lost −$12K: +$33K between them.

The whales on this market

9 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Substantial-Service
750 settled bets Beat the odds*
Cleveland Guardians @ 46¢ $28K — +$33K
Spiffy-Opportunity-Engagement
427 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Boston Red Sox @ 20¢ $10K — −$10K
Powerless-Savannah
2,455 settled bets Beat the odds*
Cleveland Guardians @ 61¢ $6.0K — +$3.8K
Ignorant-Shaw-Ego
100 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Cleveland Guardians @ 51¢ $4.5K — +$4.3K
Worthy-Hammer
4 settled bets Too few bets
Cleveland Guardians @ 77¢ $2.7K — +$801
Substantial-Timber
38 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Boston Red Sox @ 43¢ $1.9K — −$1.9K
Imaginary-Gallery
244 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Cleveland Guardians @ 59¢ $1.6K — +$1.1K
Irresponsible-Autumn
80 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Cleveland Guardians @ 45¢ $1.3K — +$1.6K
Polite-Age
70 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Cleveland Guardians @ 60¢ $1.2K — +$805

Where the whale money went

  1. Cleveland Guardians won
    $46K
    79% of whale buying · 7 buyers
  2. Boston Red Sox lost
    $12K
    21% of whale buying · 2 buyers

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Sep 24 to Sep 25, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1791710133).

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed