Wavy-Accountability-Pinstripe

0xee586017922db8b2ff244c91ae6b66f661c3d209

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Wavy-Accountability-Pinstripe: +$12K on 12 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 33% (95% range 14%–61%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$12K
return +73.2%
Settled bets
12
$16K staked
Won
33.3%
95% range 14%–61%
Mostly bets on
sports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 7 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Sep 23 – Oct 11
+$12K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 7 BUY New Mexico State @ 55¢
Spread: Florida International (-7.5)
Spread: Florida International (-7.5) $1.4K
Oct 7 BUY Yes @ 28¢
Will Mexico vs. Chile end in a draw?
Will Mexico vs. Chile end in a draw? $1.0K
Oct 6 BUY @ 62¢
Will Switzerland win on 2026-10-06? AND Will Slovakia win on 2026-10-06? AND Will Argentina win on 2026-10-06? AND Will Saint-Martin win on 2026-10-06? AND Will Albania win on 2026-10-06?
Will Switzerland win on 2026-10-06? AND Will Slovakia win on 2026-10-06? AND Will Argentina win on 2026-10-06? AND Will Saint-Martin win on 2026-10-06? AND Will Albania win on 2026-10-06? $2.0K
Oct 6 BUY No @ 67¢
Will Venezuela win on 2026-10-06?
Will Venezuela win on 2026-10-06? $2.0K
Oct 6 SELL @ 99.71¢
India vs. Uruguay: Both Teams to Score AND Will Uruguay win on 2026-10-06?
India vs. Uruguay: Both Teams to Score AND Will Uruguay win on 2026-10-06? $1.1K
Oct 6 BUY Yes @ 30¢
Will Faroe Islands win on 2026-10-06?
Will Faroe Islands win on 2026-10-06? $1.1K
Oct 6 SELL No @ 99.9¢
Will Jamaica win on 2026-10-05?
Will Jamaica win on 2026-10-05? $1.3K
Oct 4 BUY Atlanta Braves @ 32¢
Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgers $6.4K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed