Unpleasant-Dust

0xc44d644ddc841431037a94d87b3a28760f30935c

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Unpleasant-Dust: +$1.5K on 8 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 88% (95% range 53%–98%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$1.5K
return +4.5%
Settled bets
8
$35K staked
Won
87.5%
95% range 53%–98%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 8 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 6
+$340
Sep 6 – Sep 23
+$2.3K
Sep 23 – Oct 11
−$1.1K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 10 BUY No @ 85¢
Will Texas Longhorns win the 2027 CFP National Championship?
Will Texas Longhorns win the 2027 CFP National Championship? $1.6K
Oct 10 BUY Jaguars @ 77¢
Eagles vs. Jaguars
Eagles vs. Jaguars $2.3K
Oct 4 BUY Seahawks @ 76¢
Chargers vs. Seahawks
Chargers vs. Seahawks $4.0K
Oct 3 BUY No @ 70¢
Will Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 American League Championship Series?
Will Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 American League Championship Series? $3.3K
Oct 3 BUY Wisconsin @ 77¢
Michigan State vs. Wisconsin
Michigan State vs. Wisconsin $1.2K
Sep 27 BUY Saints @ 62¢
Raiders vs. Saints
Raiders vs. Saints $2.7K
Sep 20 BUY Packers @ 62¢
Packers vs. Jets
Packers vs. Jets $1.9K
Sep 7 BUY No @ 95¢
Will the Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL league championship?
Will the Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL league championship? $1.7K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed