Polymarket market · Esports

LoL: Natus Vincere vs FlyQuest - Game 1 Winner

Resolved: Natus Vincere won · See it on Polymarket ↗

29 whales put $299K into this market since Oct 5, 60% of their buying on FlyQuest. Natus Vincere won. Of the 16 whales whose whole position we captured, 4 made +$6.9K and 12 lost −$37K: −$30K between them.

The whales on this market

biggest 25 of 29
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Specific-Suburb
4 settled bets Too few bets
Natus Vincere @ 57¢ $28K $104K —
Sizzling-Arm-Stepaunt
57 settled bets Can't tell from luck
FlyQuest @ 96¢ $4.8K $19K —
Front-Tongue
93 settled bets Can't tell from luck
FlyQuest @ 95¢ $5.0K $18K —
Dental-Breakdown
24 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $22K —
Weird-Card-Priority
100 settled bets Can't tell from luck
FlyQuest @ 98¢ $19K — −$6.7K
Noisy-Dearest
64 settled bets Can't tell from luck
FlyQuest @ 43¢ $3.4K $9.3K —
Jubilant-Boost-Oeuvre
16 settled bets Too few bets
FlyQuest @ 55¢ $5.2K $5.3K +$109
Misty-Request
178 settled bets Can't tell from luck
FlyQuest @ 44¢ $9.5K — −$9.5K
Sparse-Outset
327 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Natus Vincere @ 48¢ $5.2K — +$5.5K
Utter-Grandparent-Coral
59 settled bets Can't tell from luck
FlyQuest @ 48¢ $4.8K — −$4.8K
Forked-Settler
69 settled bets Can't tell from luck
FlyQuest @ 93¢ $3.6K — −$3.6K
Bruised-Nestmate-Octavo
31 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Natus Vincere @ 54¢ $1.3K $2.0K —
Solid-Grit
218 settled bets Can't tell from luck
FlyQuest @ 52¢ $1.4K $1.8K +$422
Unconscious-Pulley
34 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $3.1K —
Total-Temporary
94 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $2.2K —
Filthy-Milestone
12 settled bets Can't tell from luck
FlyQuest @ 43¢ $2.2K — −$2.2K
Shameful-Sundae
32 settled bets Can't tell from luck
FlyQuest @ 43¢ $2.2K — −$2.2K
Female-Decimal
3 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $2.0K —
Staid-Cue
31 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $1.8K —
Damp-Possibility
162 settled bets Can't tell from luck
FlyQuest @ 82¢ $1.7K — −$1.7K
Sugary-Meaning
5 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.5K —
Jam-Packed-Cutlet
5 settled bets Too few bets
FlyQuest @ 55¢ $1.4K — −$1.4K
First-Sousaphone
58 settled bets Can't tell from luck
FlyQuest @ 44¢ $1.3K — −$1.3K
Cuddly-Cane-Freighter
9 settled bets Too few bets
FlyQuest @ 45¢ $1.3K — −$1.3K
Lovely-Stool-Scientist
15 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.3K —

Where the whale money went

  1. FlyQuest lost
    $63K
    60% of whale buying · 17 buyers · $16K sold
  2. Natus Vincere won
    $42K
    40% of whale buying · 5 buyers · $178K sold

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 5, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1791710133).

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed