Filthy-Milestone
0x068c04e7e03c05fcedba33254ffd464dce0ebce7
Filthy-Milestone: −$7.5K on 12 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 42% (95% range 19%–68%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
−$7.5K
return −19.7%
Settled bets
12
$38K staked
Won
41.7%
95% range 19%–68%
Mostly bets on
esports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 11 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- −$5.6K
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- +$1.1K
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- −$3.0K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 5 | BUY FlyQuest
@ 43¢
LoL: Natus Vincere vs FlyQuest - Game 1 Winner |
LoL: Natus Vincere vs FlyQuest - Game 1 Winner | $2.2K |
| Sep 24 | BUY LGD Gaming
@ 42¢
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs |
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs | $1.3K |
| Sep 24 | BUY Natus Vincere
@ 52¢
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner |
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner | $2.6K |
| Sep 13 | BUY Gen.G
@ 58¢
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 4 Winner |
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 4 Winner | $5.4K |
| Sep 13 | BUY Hanwha Life Esports
@ 43¢
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner |
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner | $5.0K |
| Sep 12 | BUY Team Vitality
@ 41¢
LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winner |
LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winner | $1.8K |
| Sep 9 | BUY BIG
@ 32¢
Counter-Strike: BIG vs G2 - Map 2 Winner |
Counter-Strike: BIG vs G2 - Map 2 Winner | $2.9K |
| Sep 6 | SELL Invictus Gaming
@ 99.9¢
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner |
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner | $6.5K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.