Polymarket market · Esports

LoL: Natus Vincere vs FlyQuest (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage

Resolved: Natus Vincere won · See it on Polymarket ↗

16 whales put $120K into this market since Oct 5, 94% of their buying on Natus Vincere. Natus Vincere won. Of the 13 whales whose whole position we captured, 9 made +$46K and 4 lost −$4.2K: +$42K between them.

The whales on this market

16 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Rosy-Trinket
92 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Natus Vincere @ 59¢ $43K — +$30K
Grand-Access
7 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $20K —
Decent-Armrest
200 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Natus Vincere @ 99.9¢ $11K — +$11
Offensive-Mutton-Valentine
28 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Natus Vincere @ 77¢ $1.3K $7.7K —
Different-Subgroup-Savings
12 settled bets Beat the odds*
Natus Vincere @ 60¢ $7.5K — +$5.0K
Stylish-Pattypan
174 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Natus Vincere @ 56¢ $6.4K — +$3.1K
Kosher-Refuse
309 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Natus Vincere @ 59¢ $5.8K — +$4.0K
Favorable-Pepper-Brushing
979 settled bets Worse than the odds
Natus Vincere @ 60¢ $1.5K $3.0K —
All-Peasant-Drug
891 settled bets Worse than the odds
Natus Vincere @ 60¢ $2.9K — +$1.9K
Hard-Wrong
93 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Natus Vincere @ 59¢ $2.4K — +$1.6K
Alienated-Guestbook
1 settled bets Too few bets
Natus Vincere @ 77¢ $2.3K — +$690
Watery-Cloak
53 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Natus Vincere @ 77¢ $1.7K — +$498
Cuddly-Battalion
27 settled bets Can't tell from luck
FlyQuest @ 41¢ $1.1K — −$1.1K
Itchy-Caterpillar
139 settled bets Can't tell from luck
FlyQuest @ 42¢ $1.1K — −$1.1K
Everlasting-Aperitif
18 settled bets Can't tell from luck
FlyQuest @ 68¢ $1.0K — −$1.0K
Gleeful-Pound-Gasp
10 settled bets Too few bets
FlyQuest @ 22¢ $1.0K — −$1.0K

Where the whale money went

  1. Natus Vincere won
    $84K
    94% of whale buying · 11 buyers · $31K sold
  2. FlyQuest lost
    $5.3K
    6% of whale buying · 5 buyers

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 5, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1791710133).

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed