Polymarket market · Other
Iran full airspace closure by September 30?
Resolved: No won · See it on Polymarket ↗
21 whales put $61K into this market since Aug 25, 88% of their buying on No. No won. Of the 10 whales whose whole position we captured, 8 made +$1.4K and 2 lost −$3.7K: −$2.3K between them.
The whales on this market
21 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold | Made on it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unripe-Whisker
63 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 98¢ | $7.3K | — | +$147 |
| Wordy-Duel
11 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 87¢ | $2.4K | $3.4K | — |
| Naive-Illustration-Violation
39 settled bets Worse than the odds |
sold only | $0 | $5.0K | — |
| Dental-Liquid
24 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
sold only | $0 | $4.6K | — |
| Cheerful-Ephemera
50 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 99.7¢ | $3.8K | — | +$11 |
| Scented-Eyelids
14 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $3.2K | — |
| Shiny-Camera
5 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 92¢ | $3.0K | — | +$262 |
| Fearful-Congress
33 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
sold only | $0 | $2.8K | — |
| Zesty-Disappointment
17 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $2.8K | — |
| Mushy-Asymmetry
21 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 87¢ | $2.7K | — | +$403 |
| Downright-Website
13 settled bets Worse than the odds |
No @ 94¢ | $2.6K | — | +$169 |
| Whirlwind-Maggot
13 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $2.4K | — |
| White-Loincloth
4 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $2.2K | — |
| Realistic-Building
2 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 11¢ | $2.0K | — | −$2.0K |
| Crowded-Distance
18 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
sold only | $0 | $2.0K | — |
| Murky-Rhetoric
12 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 94¢ | $1.9K | — | +$120 |
| Attached-Example-Anesthesiologist
51 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 92¢ | $1.8K | — | +$160 |
| Whimsical-Side-Wrapping
1 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 15¢ | $1.6K | — | −$1.6K |
| Brown-Tragedy
9 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $1.3K | — |
| Immense-Patriot
8 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 90¢ | $1.1K | — | +$122 |
| Whimsical-Terminal
6 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $1.1K | — |
Where the whale money went
-
No won$27K88% of whale buying · 9 buyers · $30K sold
-
Yes lost$3.7K12% of whale buying · 2 buyers · $1.1K sold
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Aug 25 to Oct 1, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the weekly run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the weekly run (1791223421).