Realistic-Building
0x57cc544a71aefae2614746c7f60380289c07882c
Realistic-Building: −$4.5K on 2 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 0% (95% range 0%–66%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
−$4.5K
return −223.1%
Settled bets
2
$2.0K staked
Won
0.0%
95% range 0%–66%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 1 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- −$4.5K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 7 | SELL Yes
@ 79¢
Israel closes its airspace by September 30? |
Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | $9.5K |
| Sep 5 | BUY Yes
@ 11¢
Iran full airspace closure by September 30? |
Iran full airspace closure by September 30? | $2.0K |
All 2 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.