Polymarket market · Sports

Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-09-12?

Resolved: No won · See it on Polymarket ↗

19 whales put $164K into this market since Sep 10, 54% of their buying on No. No won. Of the 18 whales whose whole position we captured, 13 made +$12K and 5 lost −$74K: −$62K between them.

The whales on this market

19 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Present-Grape-Drinking
21 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 15¢ $42K — −$42K
Imperturbable-Counter
95 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 87¢ $22K — +$3.3K
Pristine-Hatred
96 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 12¢ $21K — −$21K
Infamous-Ocelot
36 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 85¢ $17K — +$3.1K
Gleeful-Cauliflower
3,235 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 87¢ $15K — −$4.3K
Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf
3,172 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 85¢ $12K — +$2.0K
Miserable-Poison
955 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 86¢ $7.5K — +$1.3K
0xc4c1…6b32
20 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 87¢ $5.0K — +$747
Drab-Funding
18 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 14¢ $4.5K — −$4.5K
Agitated-Bricklaying
491 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 85¢ $3.2K — +$571
Muddy-Deployment
28 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 99.9¢ $2.7K — +$3
Whimsical-Leadership
9 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 99¢ $2.0K — +$24
Monstrous-Dew
325 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 86¢ $1.9K — +$307
Jaunty-Metabolite
7 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 15¢ $1.7K — −$1.7K
Grown-Fence
29 settled bets Worse than the odds
No @ 89¢ $1.7K — +$206
Welcome-Concept
46 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 98¢ $1.5K — +$31
Velvety-Almighty
6 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 87¢ $1.3K — +$192
Shady-Locket
4 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.0K —
Ignorant-Toga-Swimming
9 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 87¢ $1.0K — +$150

Where the whale money went

  1. No won
    $87K
    54% of whale buying · 14 buyers · $1.0K sold
  2. Yes lost
    $71K
    43% of whale buying · 4 buyers
  3. Yes lost
    $4.5K
    3% of whale buying · 1 buyer

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Sep 10 to Sep 12, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the weekly run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the weekly run (1791223421).

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed