Bowed-Millet
0x78e35477f26a8b09072c3e9fa3824759570e2bca
Bowed-Millet: +$433 on 29 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 28% (95% range 15%–46%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
+$433
return +2.1%
Settled bets
29
$21K staked
Won
27.6%
95% range 15%–46%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 16 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- +$3.8K
- Sep 6 – Sep 24
- −$3.4K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −10.9%
(2,374 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 12 | BUY Over
@ 41¢
Club Tijuana vs. Querétaro FC: O/U 1.5 |
Club Tijuana vs. Querétaro FC: O/U 1.5 | $1.0K |
| Sep 12 | BUY Yes
@ 50¢
Will Club Tijuana win on 2026-09-11? |
Will Club Tijuana win on 2026-09-11? | $1.4K |
| Sep 12 | BUY Under
@ 49¢
Texas Rangers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 5.5 |
Texas Rangers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 5.5 | $1.0K |
| Sep 6 | SELL Under
@ 99¢
Kashima Antlers vs. Urawa Red Diamonds: O/U 1.5 |
Kashima Antlers vs. Urawa Red Diamonds: O/U 1.5 | $1.6K |
| Sep 5 | BUY Yes
@ 29¢
Will Red Bull Bragantino vs. EC Bahia end in a draw? |
Will Red Bull Bragantino vs. EC Bahia end in a draw? | $1.3K |
| Sep 5 | BUY Under
@ 31¢
Hull City AFC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 1.5 |
Hull City AFC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 1.5 | $1.4K |
| Sep 5 | SELL Under
@ 47¢
FC Internazionale Milano vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 1.5 |
FC Internazionale Milano vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 1.5 | $1.5K |
| Sep 5 | SELL Under
@ 99.9¢
Manchester City FC vs. Coventry City FC: O/U 2.5 |
Manchester City FC vs. Coventry City FC: O/U 2.5 | $1.5K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.