Rusty-Mangrove
0x5c720d41fe89ca907116f5629b5b1fda4a3d7e7e
Rusty-Mangrove: +$10K on 11 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 55% (95% range 28%–79%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
+$10K
return +26.6%
Settled bets
11
$39K staked
Won
54.5%
95% range 28%–79%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 8 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- +$11K
- Sep 6 – Sep 24
- −$1.6K
- Sep 24 – Oct 12
- +$727
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −10.9%
(2,374 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3 | BUY Vikings
@ 74¢
Spread: Vikings (-3.5) |
Spread: Vikings (-3.5) | $8.7K |
| Sep 28 | SELL LGD Gaming
@ 65¢
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group A |
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group A | $1.1K |
| Sep 27 | BUY Jets
@ 36¢
Jets vs. Lions |
Jets vs. Lions | $1.7K |
| Sep 24 | BUY Packers
@ 44¢
Spread: Packers (-6.5) |
Spread: Packers (-6.5) | $4.9K |
| Sep 20 | SELL Browns
@ 45¢
Browns vs. Buccaneers |
Browns vs. Buccaneers | $1.8K |
| Sep 11 | SELL Invictus Gaming
@ 51¢
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs |
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs | $5.4K |
| Sep 6 | BUY Spirit
@ 59¢
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner |
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner | $1.5K |
| Aug 29 | BUY Liu Ce
@ 61¢
UFC Fight Night: Liu Ce vs. Levi Rodrigues Jr. (Light Heavyweight, Main Card) |
UFC Fight Night: Liu Ce vs. Levi Rodrigues Jr. (Light Heavyweight, Main Card) | $11K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.