Fine-Fowl
Skill vs luck
Fine-Fowl on Polymarket: 3 settled bets · won 67% (95% range 21%–94%) · profit +$3.7K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −11.1% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 28, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Fine-Fowl: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 28, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0xed553a60cbc768a53fa1b4764673d2418dd31932. Data CC BY 4.0.
Fine-Fowl: +$3.7K on 3 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 67% (95% range 21%–94%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 10 – Oct 28
- +$3.7K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27 | BUY Shopify Rebellion Gold
@ 47¢
Map Handicap: SRG (-1.5) vs KRÜ Blaze (+1.5) |
Map Handicap: SRG (-1.5) vs KRÜ Blaze (+1.5) | $1.8K |
| Oct 27 | SELL Vitality @ 99.9¢ | Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner ↗ | $4.3K |
| Oct 27 | BUY Inner Circle Esports
@ 85¢
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5 Playoffs |
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5 Playoffs | $2.1K |
| Oct 27 | BUY Inner Circle Esports
@ 84¢
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5 Playoffs |
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5 Playoffs | $7.0K |
All 4 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?