Aged-Clearance
Skill vs luck
Aged-Clearance on Polymarket: 6 settled bets · won 67% (95% range 30%–90%) · profit +$9.7K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −8.2% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 18, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Aged-Clearance: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 18, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x92b5f14c68ccae0cd7d0ba52b098ffaab990fec6. Data CC BY 4.0.
Aged-Clearance: +$9.7K on 6 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 67% (95% range 30%–90%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 5 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 3 – Oct 18
- +$9.7K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17 | BUY Tampa Bay Rays
@ 37¢
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5) |
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5) | $2.7K |
| Oct 17 | BUY Tampa Bay Rays @ 51¢ | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians ↗ | $5.0K |
| Oct 17 | BUY Alabama @ 30¢ | Alabama vs. Tennessee ↗ | $2.0K |
| Oct 17 | BUY Auburn
@ 29¢
Auburn vs. Georgia |
Auburn vs. Georgia | $2.0K |
| Oct 17 | BUY Canucks
@ 29¢
Canucks vs. Lightning |
Canucks vs. Lightning | $1.2K |
| Oct 17 | BUY Canucks
@ 39¢
Canucks vs. Lightning |
Canucks vs. Lightning | $4.8K |
| Oct 17 | SELL Indiana @ 49¢ | Ohio State vs. Indiana ↗ | $3.5K |
All 7 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?