Low-Belt

0x7e418bf276b3462235a09c51fa8dda146b5aca06

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Low-Belt: +$3.2K on 15 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 73% (95% range 48%–89%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$3.2K
return +14.2%
Settled bets
15
$23K staked
Won
73.3%
95% range 48%–89%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 9 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by 2 weeks
Aug 20 – Sep 4
+$200
Sep 4 – Sep 20
+$2.7K
Sep 20 – Oct 5
+$279
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 9 BUY Yes @ 96¢
Will Málaga CF vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona end in a draw?
Will Málaga CF vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona end in a draw? $1.9K
Oct 9 BUY No @ 94¢
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-10-08?
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-10-08? $1.9K
Oct 6 BUY No @ 92¢
Will Croatia win on 2026-10-06?
Will Croatia win on 2026-10-06? $1.0K
Oct 1 BUY Yes @ 97¢
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-10-01?
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-10-01? $1.5K
Sep 29 BUY Yes @ 99¢
Will Brazil win on 2026-09-29?
Will Brazil win on 2026-09-29? $1.9K
Sep 24 BUY Yes @ 93¢
Will Malta win on 2026-09-24?
Will Malta win on 2026-09-24? $2.8K
Sep 19 SELL No @ 99.9¢
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-09-19?
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-09-19? $1.5K
Sep 19 BUY No @ 96¢
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-09-19?
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-09-19? $1.4K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed