Polymarket market · Sports
Erste Bank Open: Cameron Norrie vs Daniil Medvedev
Resolved: Daniil Medvedev won · See it on Polymarket ↗
14 whales traded $70K on this market since Oct 29, 51% of their buying on Daniil Medvedev. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded 59 seconds later would have cost 0.9¢ more per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. Daniil Medvedev won, with 51% of the whale buying on it. Of the 8 whales whose whole position we captured, 3 made +$6.4K and 5 lost −$9.6K: −$3.1K between them. Biggest win: Excellent-Figure, +$4.0K on Daniil Medvedev. Biggest loss: Gleeful-Cauliflower, −$3.6K on Cameron Norrie.
The whales on this market
14 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold | Made on it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gloomy-Marxism-Idiom
56 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
sold only | $0 | $23K | — |
| Cold-Beech-Ability
88 settled bets Worse than the odds |
sold only | $0 | $16K | — |
| Imaginative-River
88 settled bets Worse than the odds |
Daniil Medvedev @ 82¢ | $3.8K | — | −$1.3K |
| Babyish-Operation
2 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $3.6K | — |
| Gleeful-Cauliflower
5,387 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Cameron Norrie @ 47¢ | $3.6K | — | −$3.6K |
| All-Peasant-Drug
1,183 settled bets Worse than the odds |
Cameron Norrie @ 40¢ | $3.2K | — | −$1.0K |
| Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf
5,348 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Daniil Medvedev @ 72¢ | $3.0K | — | +$1.2K |
| Prize-External
16 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $2.9K | — |
| Excellent-Figure
54 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Daniil Medvedev @ 39¢ | $2.5K | — | +$4.0K |
| Substantial-Service
1,111 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Cameron Norrie @ 43¢ | $2.4K | — | −$2.4K |
| Favorable-Pepper-Brushing
1,326 settled bets Worse than the odds |
Daniil Medvedev @ 59¢ | $1.9K | — | +$1.3K |
| Wrathful-Row
297 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
sold only | $0 | $1.7K | — |
| Naughty-Tab
157 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
sold only | $0 | $1.2K | — |
| Powerless-Savannah
3,083 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Cameron Norrie @ 82¢ | $1.1K | — | −$1.1K |
Where the whale money went
-
Daniil Medvedev won$11K51% of whale buying · 5 buyers · $45K sold
-
Cameron Norrie lost$8.2K38% of whale buying · 4 buyers · $3.0K sold
-
Cameron Norrie lost$2.4K11% of whale buying · 1 buyer
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 29, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” counts only trades we captured; a dash means part of the position escaped capture. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1793343609).
More sports markets the whales bet on
All Sports →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Swiss Indoors Basel: Valentin Vacherot vs Rafael Jodar | $67K | 12 | Won: Valentin Vacherot | |
| Erste Bank Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Carlos Alcaraz | $84K | 4 | Won: Carlos Alcaraz | |
| Erste Bank Open: Arthur Fery vs Lorenzo Musetti | $58K | 10 | Won: Arthur Fery | |
| Guangzhou Open: Maria Timofeeva vs Xinran Sun | $66K | 15 | Won: Xinran Sun | |
| Guangzhou Open: Jil Teichmann vs Zeynep Sonmez | $91K | 11 | Won: Jil Teichmann | |
| Swiss Indoors Basel: Ben Shelton vs Jerome Kym | $162K | 19 | Won: Jerome Kym | |
| Pan Pacific Open: Leylah Fernandez vs Elise Mertens | $138K | 8 | Won: Leylah Fernandez | |
| Lakers vs. Clippers | $305K | 55 | Won: Lakers |