Polymarket market · Sports

Erste Bank Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Carlos Alcaraz

Resolved: Carlos Alcaraz won · See it on Polymarket ↗

4 whales traded $84K on this market since Oct 29, 100% of their buying on Carlos Alcaraz. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 5 minutes later would have cost 0.5¢ less per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. Carlos Alcaraz won, with 100% of the whale buying on it. Of the 3 whales whose whole position we captured, 3 made +$1.2K and 0 lost $0: +$1.2K between them. Biggest win: Gleeful-Cauliflower, +$638 on Carlos Alcaraz.

The whales on this market

4 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Salty-Wording-Breadcrumb
56 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $69K —
Forked-Pricing
264 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Carlos Alcaraz @ 95¢ $7.5K — +$395
Gleeful-Cauliflower
5,387 settled bets Beat the odds*
Carlos Alcaraz @ 90¢ $5.9K — +$638
Prestigious-Produce
35 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Carlos Alcaraz @ 90¢ $1.8K — +$204

Where the whale money went

  1. Carlos Alcaraz won
    $15K
    100% of whale buying · 3 buyers · $69K sold

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 29, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” counts only trades we captured; a dash means part of the position escaped capture. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1793343609).

More sports markets the whales bet on

All Sports →
MarketWhale moneyWhales ResultLast whale bet
Erste Bank Open: Arthur Fery vs Lorenzo Musetti $58K 10 Won: Arthur Fery
Erste Bank Open: Cameron Norrie vs Daniil Medvedev $70K 14 Won: Daniil Medvedev
Swiss Indoors Basel: Valentin Vacherot vs Rafael Jodar $67K 12 Won: Valentin Vacherot
Swiss Indoors Basel: Ben Shelton vs Jerome Kym $162K 19 Won: Jerome Kym
Guangzhou Open: Maria Timofeeva vs Xinran Sun $66K 15 Won: Xinran Sun
Spread: Pelicans (-6.5) $96K 4 Won: Pelicans
Kings vs. Pelicans $225K 23 Won: Pelicans
Cavaliers vs. Hawks $301K 38 Won: Hawks
About this data · run 1793343609, computed 2026-10-30 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1793343609 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed