Polymarket market · Sports
Erste Bank Open: Arthur Fery vs Lorenzo Musetti
Resolved: Arthur Fery won · See it on Polymarket ↗
10 whales traded $58K on this market since Oct 29, 52% of their buying on Arthur Fery. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded 54 seconds later would have cost 5.1¢ less per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. Arthur Fery won, with 52% of the whale buying on it. Of the 5 whales whose whole position we captured, 3 made +$26K and 2 lost −$2.7K: +$23K between them. Biggest win: Snappy-Basketball, +$20K on Arthur Fery. Biggest loss: Glaring-Salt, −$1.7K on Lorenzo Musetti.
The whales on this market
10 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold | Made on it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Meager-Flair-Wait
108 settled bets Worse than the odds |
Arthur Fery @ 49¢ | $11K | $23K | — |
| Snappy-Basketball
371 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Arthur Fery @ 27¢ | $7.5K | — | +$20K |
| Hollow-Maggot-Sense
1,516 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Arthur Fery @ 57¢ | $5.0K | — | +$3.8K |
| Grateful-Chest
314 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
sold only | $0 | $3.1K | — |
| Gleeful-Cauliflower
5,460 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Arthur Fery @ 52¢ | $2.5K | — | +$2.3K |
| Glaring-Salt
2,170 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Lorenzo Musetti @ 73¢ | $1.7K | — | −$1.7K |
| Stormy-Influence
29 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
sold only | $0 | $1.5K | — |
| Willing-Skiing
155 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
sold only | $0 | $1.1K | — |
| General-Nuke-Abrogation
2 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $1.1K | — |
| Mad-Wound
104 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Lorenzo Musetti @ 73¢ | $1.0K | — | −$1.0K |
Where the whale money went
-
Arthur Fery won$15K52% of whale buying · 3 buyers · $24K sold
-
Arthur Fery lost$11K38% of whale buying · 1 buyer
-
Lorenzo Musetti lost$2.7K10% of whale buying · 2 buyers · $5.7K sold
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 29, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” counts only trades we captured; a dash means part of the position escaped capture. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1793430041).
More sports markets the whales bet on
All Sports →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erste Bank Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Carlos Alcaraz | $84K | 4 | Won: Carlos Alcaraz | |
| Erste Bank Open: Cameron Norrie vs Daniil Medvedev | $70K | 14 | Won: Daniil Medvedev | |
| Swiss Indoors Basel: Ben Shelton vs Jerome Kym | $162K | 19 | Won: Jerome Kym | |
| Swiss Indoors Basel: Valentin Vacherot vs Rafael Jodar | $67K | 12 | Won: Valentin Vacherot | |
| Spread: Pelicans (-6.5) | $96K | 4 | Won: Pelicans | |
| Kings vs. Pelicans | $225K | 23 | Won: Pelicans | |
| Cavaliers vs. Hawks | $301K | 38 | Won: Hawks | |
| Capitals vs. Predators | $129K | 4 | Won: Capitals |