Prize-External
0xb174851ed584dd49255b3e7eb1a6b0f103f21894
Prize-External: +$1.1K on 11 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 36% (95% range 15%–65%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
+$1.1K
return +9.0%
Settled bets
11
$12K staked
Won
36.4%
95% range 15%–65%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 3 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- +$477
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- +$584
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3 | SELL Elina Svitolina
@ 99.9¢
China Open: Katerina Siniakova vs Elina Svitolina |
China Open: Katerina Siniakova vs Elina Svitolina | $3.3K |
| Oct 3 | BUY Elina Svitolina
@ 90¢
China Open: Katerina Siniakova vs Elina Svitolina |
China Open: Katerina Siniakova vs Elina Svitolina | $3.0K |
| Oct 3 | BUY Matteo Berrettini
@ 60¢
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Matteo Berrettini vs Adolfo Vallejo |
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Matteo Berrettini vs Adolfo Vallejo | $1.6K |
| Oct 3 | SELL Carlos Alcaraz
@ 99.9¢
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Carlos Alcaraz vs Matteo Arnaldi |
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Carlos Alcaraz vs Matteo Arnaldi | $3.1K |
| Oct 3 | SELL Carlos Alcaraz
@ 99.9¢
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Carlos Alcaraz vs Matteo Arnaldi |
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Carlos Alcaraz vs Matteo Arnaldi | $1.5K |
| Oct 2 | BUY Novak Djokovic
@ 76¢
China Open: Yunchaokete Bu vs Novak Djokovic |
China Open: Yunchaokete Bu vs Novak Djokovic | $3.6K |
| Oct 1 | BUY KK Crvena Zvezda
@ 64¢
KK Crvena Zvezda vs. Anadolu Efes |
KK Crvena Zvezda vs. Anadolu Efes | $1.3K |
| Sep 30 | SELL Darwin Blanch
@ 99.9¢
Columbus: Darwin Blanch vs Daniel Milavsky |
Columbus: Darwin Blanch vs Daniel Milavsky | $1.0K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.