Polymarket market · Sports

Swiss Indoors Basel: Valentin Vacherot vs Rafael Jodar

Resolved: Valentin Vacherot won · See it on Polymarket ↗

12 whales traded $67K on this market since Oct 29, 49% of their buying on Rafael Jodar. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded 56 seconds later would have cost 0.1¢ more per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. Valentin Vacherot won, with 46% of the whale buying on it. Of the 7 whales whose whole position we captured, 5 made +$14K and 2 lost −$12K: +$2.5K between them. Biggest win: Glaring-Salt, +$4.2K on Valentin Vacherot. Biggest loss: Meager-Flair-Wait, −$8.0K on Rafael Jodar.

The whales on this market

12 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Snappy-Basketball
363 settled bets Worse than the odds
sold only $0 $28K —
Upright-Folklore-Distribution
44 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $11K —
Meager-Flair-Wait
104 settled bets Worse than the odds
Rafael Jodar @ 72¢ $8.0K — −$8.0K
Gleeful-Cauliflower
5,387 settled bets Beat the odds*
Valentin Vacherot @ 37¢ $4.0K — +$3.8K
Salty-Wording-Breadcrumb
56 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Rafael Jodar @ 77¢ $3.5K — −$3.5K
Excellent-Figure
54 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Valentin Vacherot @ 48¢ $2.9K — +$3.1K
Glaring-Salt
2,147 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Valentin Vacherot @ 37¢ $2.5K — +$4.2K
Cold-Beech-Ability
88 settled bets Worse than the odds
sold only $0 $2.1K —
Grateful-Chest
309 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $1.5K —
Reckless-Derivation
66 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Valentin Vacherot @ 45¢ $1.5K — +$1.8K
Wrathful-Row
297 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Valentin Vacherot @ 48¢ $1.1K — +$1.2K
Stable-Petal
3 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.0K —

Where the whale money went

  1. Rafael Jodar lost
    $12K
    49% of whale buying · 2 buyers · $12K sold
  2. Valentin Vacherot won
    $11K
    46% of whale buying · 5 buyers · $31K sold
  3. Valentin Vacherot lost
    $1.1K
    5% of whale buying · 1 buyer

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 29, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” counts only trades we captured; a dash means part of the position escaped capture. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1793343609).

More sports markets the whales bet on

All Sports →
MarketWhale moneyWhales ResultLast whale bet
Erste Bank Open: Cameron Norrie vs Daniil Medvedev $70K 14 Won: Daniil Medvedev
Guangzhou Open: Maria Timofeeva vs Xinran Sun $66K 15 Won: Xinran Sun
Erste Bank Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Carlos Alcaraz $84K 4 Won: Carlos Alcaraz
Erste Bank Open: Arthur Fery vs Lorenzo Musetti $58K 10 Won: Arthur Fery
Guangzhou Open: Jil Teichmann vs Zeynep Sonmez $91K 11 Won: Jil Teichmann
Pan Pacific Open: Leylah Fernandez vs Elise Mertens $138K 8 Won: Leylah Fernandez
Lakers vs. Clippers $305K 55 Won: Lakers
Thunder vs. Mavericks $403K 46 Won: Mavericks
About this data · run 1793343609, computed 2026-10-30 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1793343609 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed