Babyish-Operation

0xcb4f1e81fcaf184bee30577819463bc3f5087b34

Skill vs luck

Babyish-Operation on Polymarket: 2 settled bets · won 0% (95% range 0%–66%) · profit −$7. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned +3.5% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 30, 2026.

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Cite: Hopium Games, “Babyish-Operation: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 30, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0xcb4f1e81fcaf184bee30577819463bc3f5087b34. Data CC BY 4.0.

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Babyish-Operation: −$7 on 2 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 0% (95% range 0%–66%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$7
return —
Settled bets
2
$0 staked
Won
0.0%
95% range 0%–66%
Mostly bets on
sports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Oct 16 – Oct 30
−$7
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made +3.5% (2,471 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 29 SELL Daniil Medvedev @ 99.9¢ Erste Bank Open: Cameron Norrie vs Daniil Medvedev ↗ $3.6K
Oct 27 SELL Stefano Travaglia @ 99.9¢
Brest: Stefano Travaglia vs Pierre-Hugues Herbert
Brest: Stefano Travaglia vs Pierre-Hugues Herbert $3.2K

All 2 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1793343609, computed 2026-10-30 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1793343609 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed