Close-Hydrogen-Elevator

0xf0f5186d850f792faade1401ed66d6790f1da2ba

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Close-Hydrogen-Elevator: −$2.3K on 5 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 60% (95% range 23%–88%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$2.3K
return −15.9%
Settled bets
5
$15K staked
Won
60.0%
95% range 23%–88%
Mostly bets on
sports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 4 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by 2 weeks
Aug 20 – Sep 4
−$2.3K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Sep 2 BUY Brandon Nakashima @ 70¢
US Open ATP: Brandon Nakashima vs Alex Michelsen
US Open ATP: Brandon Nakashima vs Alex Michelsen $3.0K
Sep 1 BUY Mirra Andreeva @ 86¢
US Open WTA: Mirra Andreeva vs Janice Tjen
US Open WTA: Mirra Andreeva vs Janice Tjen $4.8K
Sep 1 BUY Frances Tiafoe @ 87¢
US Open ATP: Martin Damm vs Frances Tiafoe
US Open ATP: Martin Damm vs Frances Tiafoe $4.8K
Aug 31 BUY Novak Djokovic @ 75¢
US Open ATP: Mariano Navone vs Novak Djokovic
US Open ATP: Mariano Navone vs Novak Djokovic $2.0K
Aug 27 SELL Vilius Gaubas @ 72¢
US Open, Qualification ATP: Vilius Gaubas vs Harry Wendelken
US Open, Qualification ATP: Vilius Gaubas vs Harry Wendelken $1.2K

All 5 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed