Dense-Philosopher-Loincloth
0x08a30a0a0fb71ebddc8907145791030782b88666
Dense-Philosopher-Loincloth: −$66K on 18 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 56% (95% range 34%–75%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
−$66K
return −19.2%
Settled bets
18
$345K staked
Won
55.6%
95% range 34%–75%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 11 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Sep 23 – Oct 11
- −$66K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 7 | BUY Toby Samuel
@ 62¢
Villena: Hynek Barton vs Toby Samuel |
Villena: Hynek Barton vs Toby Samuel | $67K |
| Oct 7 | BUY Toby Samuel
@ 58¢
Villena: Hynek Barton vs Toby Samuel |
Villena: Hynek Barton vs Toby Samuel | $29K |
| Oct 7 | BUY Marco Cecchinato
@ 68¢
Braga: Marco Cecchinato vs Olle Wallin |
Braga: Marco Cecchinato vs Olle Wallin | $5.1K |
| Oct 7 | BUY Quentin Halys
@ 83¢
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Quentin Halys vs Coleman Wong |
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Quentin Halys vs Coleman Wong | $7.6K |
| Oct 7 | BUY Quentin Halys
@ 85¢
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Quentin Halys vs Coleman Wong |
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Quentin Halys vs Coleman Wong | $22K |
| Oct 7 | SELL Tomas Machac
@ 99.9¢
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Zhizhen Zhang vs Tomas Machac |
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Zhizhen Zhang vs Tomas Machac | $230K |
| Oct 7 | SELL Tomas Machac
@ 99.9¢
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Zhizhen Zhang vs Tomas Machac |
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Zhizhen Zhang vs Tomas Machac | $1.8K |
| Oct 7 | BUY Elise Mertens
@ 74¢
China Open: Coco Gauff vs Elise Mertens |
China Open: Coco Gauff vs Elise Mertens | $27K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.