Well-To-Do-Invention

0xbca10725fafa6cba922d74d15b340e686f0cc8aa

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Well-To-Do-Invention: −$4.3K on 2 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 0% (95% range 0%–66%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$4.3K
return −212.5%
Settled bets
2
$2.0K staked
Won
0.0%
95% range 0%–66%
Mostly bets on
sports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 1 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 3
−$2.0K
Oct 1 – Oct 15
−$2.3K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −4.5% (2,043 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 13 SELL Alejandro Davidovich Fokina @ 39¢
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina $1.4K
Aug 28 BUY Chicago Cubs @ 64¢
Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs
Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs $2.0K

All 2 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1792047640, computed 2026-10-15 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1792047640 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed