Polymarket market · Sports

Cincinnati Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Arthur Fils

Resolved: Arthur Fils won · See it on Polymarket ↗

15 whales put $71K into this market since Aug 22, 49% of their buying on Arthur Fils. Arthur Fils won. Of the 12 whales whose whole position we captured, 6 made +$7.4K and 6 lost −$27K: −$20K between them.

The whales on this market

15 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Shameful-Delay
119 settled bets Worse than the odds
sold only $0 $9.9K —
Innocent-Grape
121 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Arthur Fils @ 85¢ $8.6K — −$7.0K
Frail-Possible
629 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Arthur Fils @ 84¢ $6.5K — +$1.2K
Admired-Doubter
107 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Arthur Fils @ 61¢ $5.9K — +$3.8K
0xa0f2…1848
136 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $5.5K —
Glaring-Salt
1,604 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Flavio Cobolli @ 28¢ $5.3K — −$5.3K
General-Campaign
14 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Arthur Fils @ 94¢ $5.2K — +$334
Bumpy-Burden
40 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Flavio Cobolli @ 30¢ $4.2K — −$4.2K
Rash-Copying
124 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Flavio Cobolli @ 16¢ $4.0K — −$4.0K
Secret-Evaluator
104 settled bets Beat the odds*
Arthur Fils @ 86¢ $3.9K — +$624
0xf3a1…bf4b
19 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Flavio Cobolli @ 15¢ $3.8K — −$3.8K
Dazzling-Hybridization-Calculation
92 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Flavio Cobolli @ 30¢ $3.0K — −$3.0K
Cloudy-Leaker
32 settled bets Worse than the odds
Arthur Fils @ 71¢ $2.0K — +$829
Sugary-Cradle
28 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Arthur Fils @ 70¢ $1.4K — +$605
Daring-Tanktop
10 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.4K —

Where the whale money went

  1. Arthur Fils won
    $26K
    49% of whale buying · 7 buyers · $17K sold
  2. Flavio Cobolli lost
    $20K
    38% of whale buying · 5 buyers
  3. Arthur Fils lost
    $7.4K
    14% of whale buying · 1 buyer

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Aug 22, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1791710133).

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed