Sugary-Cradle
0xe954ddb021c19495f1c556f59dadbd1494821ef1
Sugary-Cradle: −$32K on 28 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 57% (95% range 39%–74%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
−$32K
return −26.2%
Settled bets
28
$122K staked
Won
57.1%
95% range 39%–74%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 28 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- −$27K
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- −$5.0K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 9 | BUY Jaume Munar
@ 51¢
Seville: Jaume Munar vs Gonzalo Bueno |
Seville: Jaume Munar vs Gonzalo Bueno | $1.2K |
| Sep 9 | BUY Yes
@ 9¢
Will Viking FK win on 2026-09-09? |
Will Viking FK win on 2026-09-09? | $1.2K |
| Sep 8 | BUY Under
@ 51¢
FC Porto vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 9.5 Total Corners |
FC Porto vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 9.5 Total Corners | $2.5K |
| Sep 8 | BUY Ben Shelton
@ 22¢
US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz |
US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz | $1.5K |
| Sep 8 | BUY Yes
@ 57¢
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-08? |
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-08? | $1.6K |
| Sep 5 | BUY Washington Nationals
@ 36¢
Washington Nationals vs. Los Angeles Dodgers |
Washington Nationals vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | $2.4K |
| Sep 5 | BUY Washington Nationals
@ 36¢
Washington Nationals vs. Los Angeles Dodgers |
Washington Nationals vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | $4.9K |
| Sep 5 | BUY No
@ 63¢
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-09-05? |
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-09-05? | $2.0K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.