0xf3a1…bf4b
0xf3a1493cf87d23177107b5b3f737f0c586f1bf4b
0xf3a1…bf4b: −$56K on 19 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 21% (95% range 9%–43%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
−$56K
return −54.2%
Settled bets
19
$103K staked
Won
21.1%
95% range 9%–43%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 18 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- −$56K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 1 | BUY Nishesh Basavareddy
@ 49¢
US Open ATP: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Tristan Schoolkate |
US Open ATP: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Tristan Schoolkate | $7.7K |
| Aug 28 | BUY Los Angeles Dodgers
@ 49¢
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5) |
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5) | $11K |
| Aug 28 | BUY Shintaro Mochizuki
@ 29¢
US Open, Qualification ATP: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Francesco Passaro |
US Open, Qualification ATP: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Francesco Passaro | $1.1K |
| Aug 27 | BUY Dusan Lajovic
@ 34¢
US Open, Qualification ATP: Coleman Wong vs Dusan Lajovic |
US Open, Qualification ATP: Coleman Wong vs Dusan Lajovic | $1.6K |
| Aug 26 | BUY Lorenzo Sonego
@ 54¢
Winston-Salem Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs James Duckworth |
Winston-Salem Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs James Duckworth | $1.1K |
| Aug 26 | BUY Los Angeles Dodgers
@ 54¢
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves |
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves | $3.8K |
| Aug 25 | BUY Jack Secord
@ 12¢
US Open, Qualification ATP: Jack Secord vs Tristan Schoolkate |
US Open, Qualification ATP: Jack Secord vs Tristan Schoolkate | $1.4K |
| Aug 25 | BUY Moise Kouame
@ 30¢
US Open, Qualification ATP: Moise Kouame vs Nishesh Basavareddy |
US Open, Qualification ATP: Moise Kouame vs Nishesh Basavareddy | $5.8K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.