Polymarket market · Sports

China Open: Jelena Ostapenko vs Paula Badosa

Resolved: Jelena Ostapenko won · See it on Polymarket ↗

17 whales put $146K into this market since Oct 3, 69% of their buying on Paula Badosa. Jelena Ostapenko won. Of the 12 whales whose whole position we captured, 4 made +$6.9K and 8 lost −$37K: −$30K between them.

The whales on this market

17 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Unequaled-Shingle
20 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Jelena Ostapenko @ 60¢ $1.0K $36K —
Substantial-Service
670 settled bets Beat the odds*
Jelena Ostapenko @ 66¢ $35K — −$7.4K
Black-And-White-Solitaire
125 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Paula Badosa @ 67¢ $17K $5.1K —
Glaring-Salt
1,449 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Paula Badosa @ 44¢ $13K — −$13K
Powerless-Savannah
2,259 settled bets Beat the odds*
Paula Badosa @ 62¢ $8.1K — −$3.8K
Negligible-Somersault
102 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Paula Badosa @ 49¢ $5.7K — −$5.7K
Prestigious-Produce
24 settled bets Too few bets
Jelena Ostapenko @ 84¢ $3.3K $1.5K +$230
Naughty-Tab
61 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Jelena Ostapenko @ 70¢ $3.1K $1.3K +$817
Luminous-Collision
46 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $4.2K —
Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf
3,172 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Paula Badosa @ 31¢ $2.3K — −$2.3K
Welcome-Revenue
210 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Jelena Ostapenko @ 28¢ $2.0K — +$5.1K
Gleeful-Cauliflower
3,235 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Paula Badosa @ 66¢ $1.7K — −$1.7K
Idolized-Gammaray
6 settled bets Too few bets
Paula Badosa @ 50¢ $1.5K — −$1.5K
Wide-Swordfish-Latitude
38 settled bets Worse than the odds
Paula Badosa @ 56¢ $1.3K — −$1.3K
Used-Tugboat
40 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Jelena Ostapenko @ 63¢ $1.3K — +$740
Stupendous-Shirtdress-Resolution
9 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.2K —
Powerful-Mastoid
2 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.2K —

Where the whale money went

  1. Paula Badosa lost
    $66K
    69% of whale buying · 10 buyers · $6.6K sold
  2. Jelena Ostapenko won
    $30K
    31% of whale buying · 7 buyers · $44K sold

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 3, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the weekly run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the weekly run (1791223421).

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed