Polymarket market · Sports

Japan Open Tennis Championships: Matteo Berrettini vs Adolfo Vallejo

Resolved: Adolfo Vallejo won · See it on Polymarket ↗

14 whales put $61K into this market since Oct 3, 59% of their buying on Adolfo Vallejo. Adolfo Vallejo won. Of the 11 whales whose whole position we captured, 6 made +$19K and 5 lost −$12K: +$6.2K between them.

The whales on this market

14 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Glaring-Salt
1,449 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Adolfo Vallejo @ 41¢ $12K — +$9.5K
Wrathful-Row
100 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Adolfo Vallejo @ 88¢ $5.9K $3.7K +$745
Gleeful-Cauliflower
3,235 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Matteo Berrettini @ 63¢ $9.2K — −$6.4K
Luminous-Collision
46 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Matteo Berrettini @ 80¢ $4.9K $2.7K —
Powerless-Savannah
2,259 settled bets Beat the odds*
Adolfo Vallejo @ 95¢ $6.8K — +$356
Favorable-Neuron
76 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Adolfo Vallejo @ 42¢ $3.2K — +$4.5K
Scornful-Gym-Retreat
163 settled bets Beat the odds*
Adolfo Vallejo @ 40¢ $2.3K — +$3.5K
Admired-Chaos
11 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $2.0K —
Stupendous-Shirtdress-Resolution
9 settled bets Too few bets
Matteo Berrettini @ 61¢ $1.7K — −$1.7K
Prize-External
11 settled bets Too few bets
Matteo Berrettini @ 60¢ $1.6K — −$1.6K
Specific-Operating
46 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Matteo Berrettini @ 57¢ $1.5K — −$1.5K
Thirsty-Detector
9 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.2K —
Zealous-Round-Mambo
2 settled bets Too few bets
Matteo Berrettini @ 35¢ $1.2K — −$1.2K
Sharp-Folk
7 settled bets Too few bets
Adolfo Vallejo @ 99.9¢ $1.1K — +$1

Where the whale money went

  1. Adolfo Vallejo won
    $31K
    59% of whale buying · 7 buyers · $7.0K sold
  2. Matteo Berrettini lost
    $21K
    41% of whale buying · 7 buyers · $2.7K sold

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 3, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the weekly run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the weekly run (1791223421).

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed