Unequaled-Shingle

0x4be1fa92e6ceaf886aac0bbec3be6c527133aa70

Polymarket

Can't tell from luck Check it on Polymarket ↗
Profit
−$164K
return −50.1%
Settled bets
20
$328K staked
Won
40.0%
95% range 22%–61%
Mostly bets on
sports

Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 16 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Aug 20 – Sep 4: −$108K Sep 4 – Sep 20: +$28K Sep 20 – Oct 5: −$84K
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

In the live feed

$70K bought Chicago White Sox at 49¢

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 3 Bought FlyQuest at 31¢
LoL: LGD Gaming vs FlyQuest (BO1) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage
LoL: LGD Gaming vs FlyQuest (BO1) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage $3.2K
Oct 3 Bought Katerina Siniakova at 35¢
China Open: Katerina Siniakova vs Elina Svitolina
China Open: Katerina Siniakova vs Elina Svitolina $6.3K
Oct 3 Bought Roman Safiullin at 51¢
China Open: Andrey Rublev vs Roman Safiullin
China Open: Andrey Rublev vs Roman Safiullin $19K
Oct 3 Bought Roman Safiullin at 45¢
China Open: Andrey Rublev vs Roman Safiullin
China Open: Andrey Rublev vs Roman Safiullin $33K
Oct 3 Sold Jelena Ostapenko at 99.9¢
China Open: Jelena Ostapenko vs Paula Badosa
China Open: Jelena Ostapenko vs Paula Badosa $36K
Oct 3 Bought Jelena Ostapenko at 60¢
China Open: Jelena Ostapenko vs Paula Badosa
China Open: Jelena Ostapenko vs Paula Badosa $1.0K
Oct 3 Bought Katie Volynets at 36¢
China Open: Katie Volynets vs Elise Mertens
China Open: Katie Volynets vs Elise Mertens $39K
Oct 3 Bought Katie Volynets at 36¢
China Open: Katie Volynets vs Elise Mertens
China Open: Katie Volynets vs Elise Mertens $4.3K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*) · computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed