Flashy-Bid
0xc4086b708cd3a50880b7069add1a1a80000f4675
Flashy-Bid: +$25K on 3 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 67% (95% range 21%–94%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
+$25K
return +210.3%
Settled bets
3
$12K staked
Won
66.7%
95% range 21%–94%
Mostly bets on
politics/macro
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 1 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- +$25K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 16 | BUY No
@ 99.9¢
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | $12K |
| Sep 16 | SELL Yes
@ 87¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | $26K |
| Sep 16 | SELL No
@ 88¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | $8.8K |
| Aug 26 | SELL No
@ 50¢
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | $1.3K |
| Aug 23 | BUY No
@ 50¢
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | $2.7K |
| Aug 23 | BUY Yes
@ 46¢
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House |
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | $4.2K |
All 6 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.