Specific-Overclocking

0xfa21179f2cef2f61cb78e8340ae62b17f9271438

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Specific-Overclocking: −$9.9K on 9 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 78% (95% range 45%–94%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$9.9K
return −19.4%
Settled bets
9
$51K staked
Won
77.8%
95% range 45%–94%
Mostly bets on
sports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 5 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Sep 23 – Oct 11
−$9.9K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 5 BUY Michael Zheng @ 86¢
Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Michael Zheng vs Federico Agustin Gomez
Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Michael Zheng vs Federico Agustin Gomez $1.3K
Oct 5 SELL Donna Vekic @ 33¢
China Open: Donna Vekic vs Iga Swiatek
China Open: Donna Vekic vs Iga Swiatek $1.1K
Oct 5 SELL Yes @ 99.9¢
Will Dominican Republic win on 2026-10-04?
Will Dominican Republic win on 2026-10-04? $6.8K
Oct 5 BUY Donna Vekic @ 96¢
China Open: Donna Vekic vs Iga Swiatek
China Open: Donna Vekic vs Iga Swiatek $6.3K
Oct 5 BUY Yes @ 97¢
Will Dominican Republic win on 2026-10-04?
Will Dominican Republic win on 2026-10-04? $6.0K
Oct 5 SELL Panthers @ 99.9¢
Lions vs. Panthers
Lions vs. Panthers $12K
Oct 5 BUY Panthers @ 70¢
Lions vs. Panthers
Lions vs. Panthers $4.0K
Oct 4 BUY Chiefs @ 94¢
Chiefs vs. Raiders
Chiefs vs. Raiders $7.0K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed