Vacant-Editing
Skill vs luck
Vacant-Editing on Polymarket: 2 settled bets · won 0% (95% range 0%–66%) · profit −$2.9K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −10.5% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 23, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Vacant-Editing: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 23, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x7d2aabb868b40f379e75deafffde027be6464f31. Data CC BY 4.0.
Vacant-Editing: −$2.9K on 2 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 0% (95% range 0%–66%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Aug 20 – Sep 5
- −$1.9K
- Sep 5 – Sep 21
- −$1.0K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 23 | SELL Yes @ 16¢ | Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? ↗ | $1.6K |
| Sep 10 | BUY Yes @ 37¢ | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? ↗ | $1.0K |
| Aug 31 | BUY Yes @ 48¢ | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? ↗ | $1.9K |
All 3 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?