Untimely-Kiwi
0x91572b16dc769ef8b8f1f98d5270b05a36e3626b
Untimely-Kiwi: +$422 on 11 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 100% (95% range 74%–100%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
+$422
return +1.6%
Settled bets
11
$26K staked
Won
100.0%
95% range 74%–100%
Mostly bets on
crypto
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 11 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- +$76
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- +$61
- Sep 23 – Oct 11
- +$286
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10 | BUY No
@ 99.3¢
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 October 5-11? |
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 October 5-11? | $1.7K |
| Oct 10 | BUY No
@ 99.7¢
Will Ethereum reach $3,400 October 5-11? |
Will Ethereum reach $3,400 October 5-11? | $1.3K |
| Oct 10 | BUY No
@ 99.6¢
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 October 5-11? |
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 October 5-11? | $1.7K |
| Oct 9 | BUY No
@ 99.5¢
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 October 5-11? |
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 October 5-11? | $1.3K |
| Oct 8 | BUY No
@ 99.5¢
Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 October 5-11? |
Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 October 5-11? | $1.7K |
| Oct 6 | BUY No
@ 91¢
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? |
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | $2.5K |
| Oct 3 | BUY No
@ 96¢
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 September 28-October 4? |
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 September 28-October 4? | $1.3K |
| Oct 3 | BUY No
@ 99.1¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 September 28-October 4? |
Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 September 28-October 4? | $1.1K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.