Experienced-Carpeting

0xbdcb293dd41148a20895d0e818c0d96c0756e811

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Experienced-Carpeting: +$111 on 2 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 100% (95% range 34%–100%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$111
return +1.8%
Settled bets
2
$6.1K staked
Won
100.0%
95% range 34%–100%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 1 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Sep 6 – Sep 23
+$111
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 4 BUY No @ 85¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? $2.6K
Sep 23 SELL No @ 80¢
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027? $1.1K
Sep 21 SELL No @ 99.2¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in September?
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in September? $2.1K
Sep 11 BUY No @ 87¢
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? $1.3K
Sep 11 BUY No @ 98¢
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? $4.0K
Sep 11 BUY No @ 97¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in September?
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in September? $2.0K
Sep 11 BUY No @ 87¢
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? $8.7K
Sep 10 SELL No @ 84¢
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? $4.1K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed