Measly-Tie

0x29313474cc4e8dd00406bd2dbd69a0d92e5d365b

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Measly-Tie: −$142 on 2 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 0% (95% range 0%–66%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$142
return —
Settled bets
2
$0 staked
Won
0.0%
95% range 0%–66%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Sep 6 – Sep 24
−$6
Sep 24 – Oct 12
−$135
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −10.9% (2,374 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Sep 24 SELL No @ 70¢
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? $1.1K
Sep 24 SELL Up @ 90¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET $1.3K
Sep 24 SELL No @ 96¢
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? $1.0K
Sep 22 SELL No @ 99.5¢
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? $1.3K
Sep 21 BUY Yes @ 64¢
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? $1.0K

All 5 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791788420, computed 2026-10-12 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791788420 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed