Impish-Revenge

0x744c072005bde6ddab8764a7477f61d3d22ae37f

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Impish-Revenge: +$12K on 6 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 67% (95% range 30%–90%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$12K
return +261.0%
Settled bets
6
$4.5K staked
Won
66.7%
95% range 30%–90%
Mostly bets on
crypto

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 3 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 6
−$393
Sep 6 – Sep 24
+$14K
Sep 24 – Oct 12
−$1.5K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −10.9% (2,374 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 7 BUY No @ 47¢
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October? $1.2K
Oct 2 SELL No @ 31¢
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October? $1.7K
Oct 1 BUY No @ 49¢
Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 September 28-October 4?
Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 September 28-October 4? $1.5K
Sep 22 BUY No @ 22¢
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September?
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September? $1.5K
Sep 18 SELL No @ 40¢
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in September?
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in September? $5.1K
Sep 14 SELL No @ 24¢
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026?
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026? $2.9K
Aug 30 SELL No @ 27¢
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026?
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026? $1.1K
Aug 24 SELL No @ 44¢
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? $1.4K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791788420, computed 2026-10-12 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791788420 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed