Rigid-Armor

0x18b0ee0242dc291848bf58e665b1af917fdaaf4a

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Rigid-Armor: +$189 on 6 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 50% (95% range 19%–81%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$189
return +2.3%
Settled bets
6
$8.3K staked
Won
50.0%
95% range 19%–81%
Mostly bets on
crypto

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 3 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 7
+$179
Sep 7 – Sep 25
+$128
Sep 25 – Oct 13
−$118
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.6% (2,332 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 3 SELL No @ 99.2¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 September 28-October 4?
Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 September 28-October 4? $3.7K
Sep 27 SELL No @ 98¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in September?
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in September? $4.9K
Sep 23 BUY No @ 94¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in September?
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in September? $4.7K
Sep 23 SELL No @ 96¢
Will Bitcoin reach $97,500 in September?
Will Bitcoin reach $97,500 in September? $4.7K
Aug 25 BUY No @ 95¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in August?
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in August? $1.9K
Aug 20 BUY No @ 96¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August?
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August? $1.7K

All 6 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791874803, computed 2026-10-13 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791874803 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed