Wilted-Brace
Skill vs luck
Wilted-Brace on Polymarket: 1 settled bet · won 100% (95% range 21%–100%) · profit +$1.8K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned +3.5% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 30, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Wilted-Brace: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 30, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0xaabbd33103b0664da203a438efff634a04330ac6. Data CC BY 4.0.
Wilted-Brace: +$1.8K on 1 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 100% (95% range 21%–100%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 1 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 1 – Oct 16
- +$1.8K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29 | BUY No @ 66¢ | Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in October? ↗ | $2.5K |
| Oct 8 | BUY Yes
@ 78¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in October? |
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in October? | $2.0K |
| Oct 7 | BUY Yes
@ 62¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in October? |
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in October? | $2.0K |
All 3 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.